Publications

PEER REVIEWED JOURNAL ARTICLES

  1. Özge Karanfil, Hosseinichimeh N, Duggan J. System dynamics and bio-medical modeling. System Dynamics Review [Internet]. December 2020 https://doi.org/10.1002/sdr.1675
  2. Kayı İ, Madran B, Keske Ş, Karanfil Özge, Arribas JR, Psheniсhnaya N, et al. The seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies among health care workers before the era of vaccination: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Clinical Microbiology and Infection. 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cmi.2021.05.036
  3. Özge Karanfil and John Sterman. 2020. “Saving Lives or Harming the Healthy? Overuse and Fluctuations in Routine Medical Screening. System Dynamics Review. October 6. https://doi.org/10.1002/sdr.1661
  4. Verguet, Stephane; Feldhaus, Isabelle; …Karanfil, Özge, et.al. 2019. Health system modelling research: towards a whole-health-system perspective for identifying good value for money investments in health system strengthening. BMJ Global Health.2019Apr 1;4(2): e001311. https://doi.org/10.1136/BMJGH-2018-001311
  5. Özge Karanfil. 2019. The Making of Practice Guidelines: Endogenous Dynamics of Policy Formation in Population Screening. Proceedings. 2019 Aug 1;2019(1):18822. https://doi.org/10.5465/AMBPP.2019.18822ABSTRACT
  6. Özge Karanfil. PhD thesis in Management Science. “Why clinical practice guidelines shift over time: a dynamic model with application to prostate cancer screening”, MIT, Cambridge, 2016.
  7. Özge Karanfil and John Sterman. 2015. A Dynamic Model for Health Screening: Misperceptions, Feedback and Long-Term Trends in Screening Mammography. Implementation Science.10(Suppl1): A50. 10.1186/1748-5908-10-S1-A50
  8. Abdel Hamid; …. Karanfil, Özge, et.al et al., 2014. Public and health professionals’ misconceptions about the dynamics of body weight gain/loss. System Dynamics Review. 30: 58-74. 10.1002/sdr.1517
  9. Azadeh Alimadad, Carrie Matteson, Warren L. Hare, Özge Karanfil, Diane T. Finegood, 2012. A novel algorithm for describing population level trends in body weight. Health Journal. Vol.4, 1514-1521. https://doi.org/10.4236/HEALTH.2012.412A217
  10. Luvdeep Malhi, Özge Karanfil, Tommy Merth, Molly Acheson, Amanda Palmer and Diane T. Finegood. 2009. Places to intervene to make complex food systems more healthy, green, fair and affordable. Journal of Hunger and Environmental Nutrition, 4: 3, 466 – 476. 10.1080/19320240903346448
  11. Diane. T. Finegood, Özge Karanfil and Carrie L. Matteson. 2008. Getting from Analysis to Action: Framing Obesity Research, Policy and Practice with a Solution-Oriented Complex Systems Lens. Healthcare Papers, 9(1) 36-41. 10.12927/hcpap.2008.20184
  12. Özge Karanfil and Yaman Barlas. 2008. A Dynamic Simulator for the Management of Disorders of the Body Water Homeostasis. Operations Research. 56: 1474-1492. DOI: 10.1287/OPRE.1080.0618. https://doi.org/EID: 2-s2.0- 61449143639.
  13. Özge Karanfil. MSc. Thesis in Physiology (Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Physiology and Medicine). “A Mathematical Model for Steady-State Aspects of B Lymphopoiesis in Mouse and Rat Bone Marrow”, McGill University, Montreal, 2007.
  14. Özge Karanfil. MSc. Thesis in Industrial Engineering. “A Dynamic Simulator for the Management of Disorders of the Body Water Metabolism”, Boğaziçi University, Istanbul, 2005.

PROCEEDINGS and CONFERENCE PAPERS

  1. Sema Comez, Mahdi Hashemian, Özge Karanfil. A Dynamic Simulator for Disorders of the Body Water Homeostasis for Medical Education. Proceedings of the 39th International System Dynamics Conference, Virtually Chicago. 2021.
  2. Özge Karanfil, Şanser Güz, Orkun İrsoy, Mahdi Hashemian. What is the Stakeholder Effect on Clinical Guideline Formation Process: An Experimental Study. Proceedings of the 39th International System Dynamics Conference, Virtually Chicago. 2021.
  3. Özge Karanfil, Şanser Güz, Orkun İrsoy, Mahdi Hashemian. Stakeholder Effect in the Formation of Policy/ Practice Guidelines: An Experimental Study for Medical Screening. 40th National Operations Research and Industrial Engineering Congress (ORIE2021 Congress) on July 4-7, 2021.
  4. Emir Gürsel, Lerzan Örmeci, Zeynep Aksin, Evrim Gunes, Özge Karanfil, Zehra Önen. A Capacitated SEIR Model for COVID-19. 40th National Operations Research and Industrial Engineering Congress (ORIE2021 Congress). July 4-7, 2021.
  5. Sema Comez, Mahdi Hashemian, Özge Karanfil. The Body Water Game: A Dynamic Simulator of Disorders of The Body Water Homeostasis for Medical Education. 40th National Operations Research and Industrial Engineering Congress (ORIE2021 Congress). July 4-7, 2021.
  6. Hazal Can, F. Aydin, E. Gokcen Bozkurt, E. Keskin, E. Sever, E. Cetin, E. Nebioğlu, V. Mole, Özge Karanfil, S. Sakarya. A Systematic Review on Evolving Clinical Practice Guidelines (CPGs) for Prostate Cancer Screening-Evidence from last two decades (1991-2020). KU Research Days, Koc University. 2021.
  7. Özge Karanfil. 2020. The Making of Practice Guidelines, and the Pendulum of Population Screening. Informs Annual Conference. Virtual Conference. Nov 7-13, upcoming conference.
  8. Özge Karanfil, Hazal Can, Fatma Aydin, Elif Gokcen Bozkurt, Erkam Keskin, Egemen Sever, Ecesu Cetin, Ertaç Nebioğlu, Vasiliki Mole, Sibel Sakarya. 2020. A Systematic Review on Evolving Clinical Practice Guidelines for Population Screening. Proc. of the 38th Int. SD Conf. Virtual Bergen/ Norway.
  9. Özge Karanfil. 2020. The Making of Practice Guidelines, and the Pendulum of Population Screening. Informs Annual Conference. Virtual Conference. Nov 7-13.
  10. Özge Karanfil. 2020. The Making of Practice Guidelines: Dynamics of Selection Criteria in Population Screening. Informs Healthcare Conference, MSOM Healthcare SIG Session 4. Boston.
  11. Özge Karanfil, Hazhir Rahmandad, Jack Homer and John Sterman. 2017. A Dynamic Model for Understanding Long-Term Trends in Prostate Cancer Screening. Proceed. of the 35th SD Conference. Link.
  12. Özge Karanfil and John Sterman. 2017. Our Walk to the End of Cancer? Understanding Long-Term Trends in Medical Screening. Proceedings of the 35th SD Conference. Link.
  13. Özge Karanfil, John D. Sterman. 2017. Our Walk to the End of Cancer? Understanding Long-Term Trends in Medical Screening. INFORMS Annual Conference. Houston. Texas.
  14. Özge Karanfil, Hazhir Rahmandad, Jack Homer, John D. Sterman. 2016. PSA Screening for Prostate Cancer: A Dynamic Feedback Model to Understand Long Term Trends. INFORMS Annual Conference.
  15. Özge Karanfil and John Sterman. 2015. Dynamics of Routine Health Screening. INFORMS Healthcare Conference. Cluster: Disease Modeling and Economic Evaluation. Nashville. Tennessee.
  16. Özge Karanfil and John Sterman. 2015. Why is PSA screening so common when evidence is so uncertain? INFORMS Healthcare Conference. Cluster: Medical Decision Making. Nashville. Tennessee.
  17. Özge Karanfil and John D. Sterman 2015. “Risk Perception, Preferences and Behaviors in Cancer Screening: A System without Negative Feedback”. Proceedings of the 33rd SD Conf, Cambridge.
  18. Özge Karanfil, 2015. Dynamics of Routine Health Screening: Why Is Screening So Common for Some Diseases When Evidence Is So Uncertain. Preventing Overdiagnosis Conference. DC.
  19. Özge Karanfil, 2015. Risk Perception, Preferences and Behaviors in Prostate Cancer Screening. Preventing Overdiagnosis Conference. DC.
  20. Özge Karanfil, John Sterman. 2014. Developing a dynamic model for breast cancer screening misperceptions and feedback in screening mammography debate. IE Annual Conf and Expo 2014. pp. 2512-2539.
  21. Özge Karanfil and John Sterman. 2014. A Dynamic Model for Health Screening: Understanding Long Term Trends in Screening Mammography. INFORMS Annual Conference. San Francisco. US.
  22. Özge Karanfil and John Sterman. 2014. Our Walk to the “End of Cancer”: Understanding the Trade-Offs and Feedback in Mammography Screening Decision. Proceed. of the 29th Int. SD Conference. Nijmegen.
  23. Özge Karanfil. 2012. “Revisiting the Dynamics of Collapse: Globalization, Economic Growth & Rising Inequalities in the 19th Century Ottoman Empire”. Proceedings of the 30th SD Conf, St. Gallen
  24. Özge Karanfil, Thomas Moore, P. Finley, T. Brown, Aldo Zagonel, Robert Glass. 2011. “A Multi-scale Paradigm to Design Obesity Policy: Exploring the Integration of Individual- Based Modeling and System Dynamics”. Proceedings of the 29th International System Dynamics Conference, DC, USA. Link.
  25. Emily Edwards, Özge Karanfil, Alicia Pichard, Julia Stark. 2010. MIT Country report: India–culture.
  26. Özge Karanfil, 2009. “A System Dynamics Model of Body Weight Regulation and Obesity”, Proceedings of the 27th System Dynamics Conference, Albuquerque.
  27. Ty A. Ridenour, Özge Karanfil, Mildred Maldonado-Molina. 2009. Demonstration of Systems Dynamics Methods for Public Health Research: Testing the Gateway Hypothesis for Development of Substance Use. 6th Biennial Meeting of the Society for the Study of Human Development (SSHD), Michigan, USA. Link
  28. Özge Karanfil. 2006. “A Dynamic Simulator for the Management of Disorders of the Body Water Metabolism”, Proceedings of the 24th Int. System Dynamics Conference, Nijmegen, Netherlands.
  29. Gokhan Doğan and Özge Karanfil. 2002. “Long Term Consequences of Genetically Modified Crops in Agriculture”, Proceedings of the 21st International System Dynamics Conference, Palermo, Italy.

WORKING PAPERS

  1. Özge Karanfil, Jack Homer, Dian Kusuma, Rifat Atun. 2020. “Chronic and Cardiovascular Disease Management and Policy in LMICs: A Simulation-based Analysis for Malaysia”.
  2. Özge Karanfil, Melike Hazal Can, Rifat Atun. “A Review for Systems Thinking and Modeling in Health Systems Research”. Work-in-Progress.
  3. Özge Karanfil, Hazal Can, Fatma Aydin, Elif Gokcen Bozkurt, Erkam Keskin, Egemen Sever, Ecesu Cetin, Ertac Nebioglu, Vasiliki Mole, Sibel Sakarya. “A Systematic Review on Evolving Clinical Practice Guidelines for Population Screening”.
  4. Lerzan Örmeci, Evrim Didem Gunes, Zeynep Aksin, Özge Karanfil, Emir Gursel, Zehra Onen. Baris Tan, Önder Ergonul. “Teşhis Test Etkisi Modellemesi ile Salgın Tedbirleri Analizi (TEST)”. Work-in-Progress.
  5. Özge Karanfil, Jack Homer, Hazhir Rahmandad, John Sterman..et al. “A Dynamic Model to Understand Long Term Trends in PSA Screening for Prostate Cancer, Risk Preferences and Behaviors”.
  6. Merih Angin, Özge Karanfil, Avin Bhagwani, Pelin Kilicarslan, Gizem Cetin, and Daniele Aglio, Pelin Angin. “Determinants of Risk Perception and Covid-19 Alertness”. Work-in-Progress.
  7. Özge Karanfil, Hazhir Rahmandad, John Sterman..et al. “Understanding the Dynamics of Cancer Over- Screening and Fluctuations in Screening Criteria”. An Empirical Study.
  8. Özge Karanfil, Lindsay Jaacks, Chelsea Messinger, Eric Li …Rifat Atun. “Comparison of Risk Factors for Hypercholesterolemia between Southeast Asia and Other Regions: A Systematic Review”.

Koç University College of Administrative Sciences and Economics, Case:156 Rumeli Feneri Yolu 34450 Sarıyer, İstanbul, Turkey

okaranfil@ku.edu.tr